If current U.S. trends continue, more than 57 percent of today’s youth will be obese at age 35, according to a new study from Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

The research also found that excess weight in childhood is predictive of adult obesity, even among young children, and that healthy-weight children are the only ones with less than a 50 percent chance of adult obesity. The findings were based on a rigorous simulation model that provides the most accurate predictions to date of obesity prevalence at various ages.

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